Weather Bot — Episode 1: How I Started Betting on Temperature With $198 on Polymarket
It was a Tuesday around 2 AM when I found something that didn't make sense. I was digging through Polymarket trade histories — the kind of rabbit hole you fall into when you should've gone to bed three hours ago — and one account kept showing up in weather markets: gopfan2 . I pulled up the profile on PolymarketAnalytics. The numbers were real. $1.48 million in verified profit. A 60.8% win rate across 1,700+ positions. And here's the part that got me: the PnL curve wasn't some lucky spike from one big bet. It was a steady grind upward over 18 months, trade after trade after trade. I stared at that chart for a while. Then I looked at my Polygon wallet. $198. And a thought that wouldn't go away: if someone can make $1.48 million just by predicting tomorrow's temperature better than the crowd, could I automate that? What This Post Covers This is the first episode in a series documenting how I built an automated weather trading bot on Polymarket. ...